The Official 2013 GITS Spec Script Sales Prognostication Contest!

January 16th, 2013 by

Yes, it’s time once again for The Official 2013 GITS Spec Script Sales Prognostication Contest! Or as we refer to it around the Myers household TO2013GSSSPC [much easier to remember, don't you think].

Put on your prognostication glasses and take a guess at how many spec scripts sales there will be in Hollywood in 2013! We’ll come back next year around this time to see who won. The prize:

I will read any script of the winner’s choice and do a thirty-minute teleconference to discuss it with them.

Here are the sales totals for the last five years:

2008: 87
2009: 68
2010: 55
2011: 110
2012: 99

Armed with that information, head to comments and make your prediction. Will the spec market contract? Continue to expand? What is your reasoning? At the end of the week, I’ll post my number.

Contest open through Friday, January 18 at midnight Pacific!

See you in comments!

59 thoughts on “The Official 2013 GITS Spec Script Sales Prognostication Contest!

  1. 108. With the end of a few franchises, I suspect original material will be desirable. I think Hollywood will still run lean, but purchase more than 2012′s 99. Also, I predict that Rom-Com spec sales will be double digits. #SoItIsWrittenSoItShallBeDone

  2. Alex Carl says:

    109. Specs did reasonably well last year so I feel a slight bump up from last year is probable.

    1. Why 114? 14 is a lucky number for me and I’m an optimist by nature so I’m betting on moderate expansion. It was either that or create 200 dummy log-ins and pick every number from 20 on up.

  3. paul.younghusband says:

    I’m gonna go with 107.

  4. Shaula Evans says:

    105 — I think it would be lower except for the Black List, which is going to bump spec sales higher and break the downward trend.

  5. 107 – I went with 97 a year ago, but I suppose that they will increase in number and decrease in fee this year.

  6. I read “Procrastination Contest” and thought “Hell yeah, I’m gonna win this one!”

    I’ll get back to you with my guess…

    1. That sounds like the contest for me! Bring it on! :)

  7. DomSalvaggio says:

    101. Mine will be among them.

  8. SlackerSteve says:

    126. I know it might seem high, but I think there is a backlog of sorts where the down economy made people hold back and now they want to pick up those scripts they might have passed up as well as the new ones that come along.

  9. Alan D. says:

    104. It’s a repeat guess though, but 100-112 were already taken and that’s my estimated range.

  10. Natespeare says:

    109. always a lucky number on the interwebs

  11. Scott says:

    From Twitter:

    87: @EricTruy

    110: @propagandery [Glenn Sanders]

  12. wereviking says:

    OK put me down for 98. Wanted 101, but that was taken :) W

    1. Oh, shoot. Are we allowed to pick a number that’s already been chosen by someone else? If not, I’ll revise my guess.

      1. David Joyner says:

        I don’t know. However, if I didn’t make a mistake then this is the sorted list of guesses so far:
        85, 87, 92, 93, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101, 101, 102, 102, 102, 103, 104, 104, 104, 105, 105, 106, 107, 107, 108, 109, 109, 110, 111, 112, 113, 113, 114, 115, 116, 117, 118, 120, 121, 125, 126.
        You can see there are several repetitions.

        1. TheQuietAct says:

          Yeah, I think you can pick a number that was picked by someone else?
          Wasn’t there a tie last year?

          1. Scott says:

            Yes, people can double up on numbers. I’ll do a new post tomorrow with an updated list.

  13. skyhighsmile says:

    109

    Recognition of changing trends in movie-going will spur both more writing assignments targeted at different markets and sales of spec scripts to follow the trends.

    Winding down of some franchises will also cause an uptick looking for new tent poles.

    But cash conservatism will keep it from exceeding 2011.

  14. GITSfan says:

    95. Last year at this time, 5 sold, this year, 3, so pace a bit slower.

  15. GregontheMark says:

    A jump down the road of optimism here. 150. Yup, that high. Why? Well, what with starts and stops, there are 75 or so production companies out there, figure two scripts bought each. And sometime soon the “machine” has to realize the narrowing of the audience will end up with only snot nosed nine year old boys in the audience and then there will only be a need for three movies a year and their ancillary toy stream. Imagine all the high paid executives trying to live on unemployment checks when we get to that point. Has to change. And those graphic novel, comic hero movies? What’s next, Mighty Mouse? I figure the “powers that think they are” will see what’s happening of late at the box office and the whole stream will meander. And if I know where it will go — heck if I’m telling anyone!

  16. I am guessing the same number I guessed last year: 90

Leave a Reply

Connect with: