How many spec scripts do you think will sell in 2012 [cont’d]?
From this post Monday:
I’m not ready to lock down the final number for spec script sales in 2011, but as of right now it stands at 109. Let’s compare the number of sales since 2008:
2008: 87
2009: 68
2010: 55
2011: 109
At the end of last year, I had predicted a rebound in the spec script market, but nothing like this.
I figured this year, why not have some fun and let everyone put on their prognostication glasses to see what they see for spec script sales in 2012. I’ll keep a list and we’ll come back next year around this time to see who came closest. Let’s even have a prize:
I will read any script of the winner’s choice and do a thirty-minute teleconference to discuss it with them.
So head to comments and make your prediction. Will the spec market contract? Continue to expand? What is your reasoning? At the end of the week, I’ll post my number. And remember in January, I will be doing a series of articles analyzing the 2011 spec script market per genre, studio, agents & managers, first-timers, and big $$ sales.
See you in comments!
Here is a list of the guesses thus far:
69: Bob Lackie
70: Dave
72: tracinell
75: Debbie Moon
77: Daniel Hogan
78: Teddy Pasternak, J. RA
81: churnage
82: Kilg
83: Sean Z P Harris
85: Michael
86: Jack Napier
89: Michael
90: David Proenza
93: Chris
95: Alex
96: Alexander Gorelik
97: Antonello Sammito
98: Nathan Snelgrove
99: Brock Weaver, Nick J. Scott
100: Christopher Westfield
102: L. Fernando
103: mscherer
104: Marc Teichmann
105: Sean Cameron
107: C. S. Cyr
108: fakesteph
110: Cameron Alexander
111: @jannagummo
112: Jason
115: benjo
117: Chris Roberts
121: januaryfire
122: Nick West
128: Judy Potocki
130: pliny the elder
If I missed someone, please let me know in Comments. And as you can see, there are still some numbers to be claimed, so here’s your chance to be prognosticate away.
As noted previously, tracking spec script sales is not an exact science. For example, some sales which get listed as spec deals turn out to be options or even free options, the spec tag part of a PR ploy by producers to generate attention. Other deals are not reported as a spec sales, but are in effect. I do my best to sort through the trades, online resources, and individual contacts I have on the script acquisition and development side of things in Hollywood to confirm each deal, so the annual numbers are a strongly accurate accounting, but I make no claim to be ‘perfect’.
See you in Comments for your guess!
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